Main Street Capital Corp (MAIN) comments on Wallstreetbets, Twitch and 4chan

Lets go greek! (theta, delta, etc)

MAIN

Main Street Capital Corp

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About Main Street Capital Corp

Main Street is a principal investment firm that primarily provides long-term debt and equity capital to lower middle market companies and debt capital to middle market companies. Main Street's portfolio investments are typically made to support management buyouts, recapitalizations, growth financings, refinancings and acquisitions of companies that operate in diverse industry sectors. Main Street seeks to partner with entrepreneurs, business owners and management teams and generally provides 'one stop' financing alternatives within its lower middle market portfolio. Main Street's lower middle market companies generally have annual revenues between $10 million and $150 million. Main Street's middle market debt investments are made in businesses that are generally larger in size than its lower middle market portfolio companies. Main Street, through its wholly owned portfolio company MSC Adviser I, LLC ('MSC Adviser'), also maintains an asset management business through which it manages investments for third parties. MSC Adviser is registered as an investment adviser under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940.

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Recent Comments

I use their services and their pricing is predatory af, at this point it's too much hassle to leave and switch to something else and honestly that's the main reason they are still in business.

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Surprise everyone after 10 bagging in the past two years. I mean like sure but the main surprise has already happened.

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Doomer 2 week account guy is either gom_kbull or pmotiveforce Post on main Walter White: COWARD

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I generally agree with you with the main thesis however one thing I do think you're overlooking when it comes to cigs specifically is that one of the biggest factors driving cig usage downwards specifically is the government. Consider if you will: 1. Places like Florida and Texas are trying to zero out rich people taxes like income and real estate which means more and more money needs to come from other tax sources 2. Cigs are priority A-1 when it comes to vice taxes 3. Most people who smoke cigs are poor and can barely afford to smoke cigs as is, especially the premium cigs like Marlboro 4. The places this is happening the hardest are also the places with the most poors Now how do you price something like that into your models? No fucking clue, but definitely don't think it's something you can discount entirely

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What duplicated sentences? From the tldr to main maybe but that’s it right?

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Please read what you wrote and tell me that this isn’t straight hopium injected into the main artery

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I've been saying this for years, the sudden push to try to force everyone into EVs was a big mistake, and I'm willing to die on that hill. Only Tesla can get away with it, and may be a few other EV-only manufacturers, because the main selling point is not just the EVs but the tech that comes with it. Hybrids make sense for everybody else.

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Also, the conventional wisdom that miners trade like a leveraged version of the underlying commodity does not always hold. It's true in a lot of cases, since their underlying profits leverage to it. However, that's not been the case for the last two years. As a good example, back in 2024 Q2, the top gold miners, like Barrick and Newmont, had an average all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of around $1300/ounce. The average price of gold in that quarter was around $2350/ounce, which is a difference of $1050/ounce. Now, if we look one year later, at 2025 Q2, we can see the average AISC was $1420/ounce while gold was $3280/ounce. So, gold had an improvement of around 40% YoY wheres the miners' AISC only changed by around 10% YoY. We didn't see a big jump in those miners, though, until earnings season, so there was a significant leverage lag and thus substantial upside. You can see, going back further, that these miners and collections of miners, like GDX, have significantly lagged due to being largely forgotten. If you grabbed LEAPS early, even as recently as last year, then you would have locked in a 1100%-3200%+ gain for just holding a few months. We're seeing the same story play out now. A lot of the big miners took a bruising in October because gold was overbought during the 2025 Q3 run-up. However, the miners themselves were not significantly overbought. The ratio of gold miners (GDX) to gold (GLD) was only around 0.209. This is below the biggest GDX-overbought periods in recent times, which were in 2020 (0.231) and 2016 (0.234). The ratio we saw in October is closer to the long-term average (0.19). As well, if you look the miners' AISCs now, they're around $1550/ounce, much of which is attributed to the higher royalty payments that are tied to the price of gold. Some companies, like Agnico Eagle, still only have an AISC in the $1370/ounce range. Their overall valuations remain low in certain cases. So, as long as gold continues to either consolidate or rise from its current $4300/ounce range, then there looks to be a lot of potential upside going into February earnings period when 2025 Q4 results are reported for all of the main miners.

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I only have some puts, maybe 5-7k in puts on shit between now and March. My main exposure is gold silver and miners. That shit must detach itself from the wider market. It's bullshit that gold and silver highly correlate to rest of market. When that dissociation happens you will know shit is real and even the biggest tard bull should sell.

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