Your scenarios hinge on the idea that China is doing this to weaken American capital markets and escalate further, whereas the true intent of this escalation is to maintain their monopoly and thus leverage over america on REEs as they have applied export controls to even REEs refining technologies and products. We have seen that America has abandoned the free market when its comes to REEs and chips( taking stakes in related companies) and this is China retaliation in order to keep their most powerful bargaining chip Relevant. China has very little leverage besides REEs so high doubt they have anything else up their sleeves. Another note is how narrow your scope is as you fail to consider how china is affected. Their economy is hurting, going through severe deflation( its so bad they suspended publishing economic data reports) and a 100% tariff is certainly going to push them to the table to work out a deal. The us and china are heavily dependent on each other and this decoupling will take years and countless administrations, but it is clear that a monetary reorder is coming and a reaccelerating of US economy is bound. The market will not react as severely as it did in april (see above reason)

---

Doesn’t mean there will be zero fall out. China greatly reduced soy bean and pork belly imports from the US, reduce our access to rare earth metals. And target US companies in retaliation. Side note, I wonder if this is related to the takeover of tictok US and used to add pressure.

---

I dont wanna go to the casino on Monday. Can someone write me a doctor's note saying im sick? pleasee???

---

"work smarter not harder" they said, problem is hard work feels good... at least if you have balls. Literally the role of testosterone is to make hard work feel good. Note that work here is defined as: work=force x distance (so literally how fat your ass is and how far you moved it in a time sample), not whatever the fuck happens with the photons on your screen... that shit has no mass.

---

Your girlfriend is being stretched by someone else. He is making sure you'll fit every time. Didn't you notice you don't have to struggle anymore you just slide in . That is why your girlfriend you fit. Whoever this guy is you should write him a thank you note. It's like you have a private Taylor he knows your size and fits it perfectly for you. You're so lucky.

---

So their claim will be unverifiable? Let's trust it 100% then. > I'd imagine there's some truth to it otherwise the government wouldn't have locked themsleves out. Important to note; they didn't lock themselves out, the US gov locked them out and cut them off. I think the CCP is above all, looking to save face. You don't do that by publicly admitting defeat, you do that by projecting invulnerability.

---

I was talking about Alibaba specifically who also views Huawei (using tsmc) as a rival in the industry. >The chip, now in testing, is manufactured by a Chinese company, in contrast to an earlier Alibaba AI processor that was fabricated by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, the report said. Important to note it is still in testing phase but it's basically confirmed that they can be self sufficient completely while creating H20 level chips. At least according to themselves. And I'd imagine there's some truth to it otherwise the government wouldn't have locked themsleves out.

---

>If it broke the trend line Yup, that’s the exact reason it went down today. Nothing else of note happened

---

Yes, the options market closed at 15:00 and in my case were out of the money so they would not auto-exercise without manual intervention. After hours should your puts goes in the money there is a grace period to manually exercise which i did. Then I was short 20,000 shares and covered them for profit as long as they under my strike of 64.5. It depends on broker so I not going to quote it. But for IBKR it obviously let me exercise at 16:15 or so... I should note I'm in Central Standard Time These were also 0 DTE that expired worthless at 15:00.

---

I think you need to realise the media you consume probably all has a pro-American stance or at very least is told from an American lens. There were discussions by Taiwanese and South Korean news outlets - and I assume there must have been talk in Japan too given how their index moved during their market hours - that there have never been any talks arranged for November (as of yet). Trump may or may not be trying to save face. Trump cares a lot about his public image. Xi does not and so does not really care for playing the same type of media games. This is a probably a bit cultural. China doesn't seem to be pushing anything - it's just hitting back again (and I assume it's to do with the September actions you mentioned). The rare earths 'dispute' has always been an existing thing (so maybe look at how Trump chose to deal with Ukraine too) as they are materials that the USA quite desperately needs. It really seems to be just 'you hit me, I hit back' despite how Western media tends to portray things. On a side note to that, it might be worth taking a look at which group of people owns most of American media (and also paid for the Republican campaign) - maybe you'll be able to spot the 'you scratch my back, I scratch yours' dynamic that has been going on for decades. Go look at things from more neutral points of view if you can access them. (Taiwan and SK definitely aren't pro-China, yet discuss the news/information in a very different way to how it is portrayed in American media.)

---