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Dynamic Materials

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Curious what your thesis is specifically. With the AI boom there is a distinct difference between the oil and electricity trade. XLE is mostly oil focused.
**SPY will never** ***stay*** **above $700** because the moment it touches that number, it becomes a financial singularity. Here’s the totally-not-peer-reviewed theory: When SPY hits \~$700, three things happen simultaneously: 1. **The ā€œNice Round Number Curseā€ activates** $700 isn’t just a price — it’s a psychological boss level. Pension funds rebalance, algos scream ā€œTAKE PROFITS,ā€ CNBC rolls out the *ā€œIs this the top?ā€* graphics, and every trader who bought at $420 feels spiritually complete and sells. 2. **Passive investing breaks the simulation** At $700, index funds become so dominant that price discovery collapses. SPY stops reflecting the economy and starts reflecting flows. One bad CPI print or Treasury auction and—boom—air pocket. Gravity reasserts itself. 3. **The Fed blinks… again** SPY at $700 implies either: Either way, the Fed notices, someone says ā€œfinancial conditions are easing too much,ā€ and markets get bonked with a surprise hawkish sentence buried on page 14 of a speech. * earnings went vertical (lol), or * liquidity is out of control 4. If you want, I can make: * a **bullish counter-theory** just as unhinged * a **timeline prediction** (when it tags $700 and fails) * or a **trader lore version** involving hedge funds, gamma traps, and vibes 5. Just say the word 😈 6. Net result: SPY **may tag $700**, maybe even briefly camp above it… but it won’t *stay* there. It’ll treat $700 the way I treat my gym membership: visits occasionally, never commits.
TSLA calls all week. Boom.
Super bowl ads can be a strong sector indicator for an upcoming bear market when a boom industry is advertising hard. Even consumer staples may match or slightly lag S&P. Think of dot-com, subprime housing lenders, online used car dealers, crypto… And now AI
That's actually bullish though. If people were laid off rapidly, no one would spend and consumption would collapse. The spending and buildout boom is going to continue regardless. Don't be tricked into piling up cash in an inflationary environment.
The 1950s-1960s economic miracle was built on manufacturing and exports. This time around, it's hard to say if the drivers of the boom are as strong. This time around, finance, trading, and car manufacturing seem to be Japan's biggest industries. We could be at the beginning, the midpoint, or the end of the peak of the Japanese stock market. Who knows?
Pretty magic rocks go boom! Also … FUCK THE PATS
protip, if you know absolutely nothing and want to sound smart. start throwing around the words "implied volatility", and boom. now you know more than 99% of wsb
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