You have a cringe ass avatar while being a Top 1% WSB commenter, no need to dox yourself we already know you’re fat and are currently chowing down on some Doritos
Alot of people feel that way. The problem with parabolic is two fold:
- it goes on way longer than makes sense
-it always feels like you buying the top when you get in
Buying TTWO on pre order hype is risky because the excitement is already priced in
The stock jumped 5 percent on a 30 second trailer and everyone expects 1 billion in one hour
That means any small disappointment will hit the stock hard
I am not saying GTA VI will flop because it will be huge
But buying the rumor and holding through the news rarely works
You might be buying at the top of the hype cycle
**The Halving Year Bull Phase (Months 0–12 post-halving)**: Supply constraints usually trigger a major macro price run-up during this timeframe.
**The Bear Market / Retracement Phase (Months 12–24 post-halving)**: A macro price top is reached, followed by a steep correction to a cyclical market floor.
**The Accumulation & Recovery Phase (Months 24–36 post-halving)**: The market grinds sideways, forms a definitive accumulation floor, and slowly builds momentum.
**The Pre-Halving Hype Phase (Months 36–48)**: General excitement returns, and the price begins rallying back up toward its previous all-time highs right before the next supply cut occurs.
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We are 792 days since last halving or third phase.
The “bagholders who bought at the top” of RKLB are from like 3 weeks ago though.
I’m not sure they feel like they’re itching to get out after all this time.
Not yet, reality about rates is that they used to cut into the bottom line of companies holding debt but today’s concentration allows for all the emphasis to sit with the top tech companies that are not impacted by the price of debt because it seems like regardless of what’s happening in the rest of the economy, those companies continue to grow and basically just eat up everything else. Market don’t care about the 90% of people, it cares about the 90% of wealth which are held by the top 10% of people who have never been better given the inflationary nature of prices in the recent years and massive deficits to fuel growth.