Is there a way to gauge bids/asks for calls in the pre-market? I'm volunteering for field day at my daughters school and will be tied up herding regard children into playing games 9-11:30 and likely can't be staring at my phone the whole time.
**Pre-merger shares;** 30,000,000
**Post-merger shares;** 165,000,000
**ALCC Market Cap;** $500 million
**OKLO Private valuation;** $800 million
**Combined post-merger valuation;** $1.3 billion.
(1.3 billion / 165 million) = **$7.88 per share.**
That's if its private valuation has any basis in reality; some would argue it doesn't, as OKLO has no product and no regulatory approval.
This thing *really* has to excel and beat all expectations post-merger to even achieve a $14ish price range.
IIRC, the post-merger stock performance incentives are $12, $14, and $16 for those with equity in OKLO. These numbers were decided by very intelligent, shrewd, and highly paid professionals (probably ALCCs lawyers, as this is essentially a $500m backdoor cash injection). So those insiders expect the share price to come in under $12, and rise to those values over time as a result of performance.
Methinks a lot of people will be upset over the next 2 weeks when this goes to $6 post-merger, not $60.
I'm in for 160.
Oooooh baby! Can't wait to ride that high until 9:28 tomorrow morning when it fucking dumps in the pre-market just to secure my L. Haha, I'm not bitter.
Definitely gonna print, but probably more like $15k after IV crush and theta if it stays around $185. Could see it dropping a bit in pre market, but maybe it’ll spike during the call if they talk about AI enough…
Edit: lol a bunch of us spitting out different estimates. I’m an actual idiot so definitely ignore mine