This is the part where I stare at the charts like I'm some kind of genius, measuring the rolling hills, peaks, and depressions and make a move. Usually it's wrong. Based on my analysis - I just bought SPY Puts expiring Monday. You're welcome call holders.

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exactly this. market wont enjoy the kind of returns unless there is ample amount of liquidity, there has to be an acceleration of money creation - if it slows, rather than reduced, that in itself is a liquidity crunch for the equity markets. that being said, this is more of a chicken or egg kind of statement, but the Fed has been known to reduce rates after some crash, by the order of some 600bps magnitude, so the next crash will increase overall liquidity and the market will rise again.

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Kind of like weed 0de lottos here on this dip

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They’re not bad just kind of stagnant. Market was expecting like.. bad bad.

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Good luck with that strategy, I’m not even invested in Tesla anymore but you have to be a special kind of special regarg to try and short this company, have you learnt nothing over the last decade+

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this has been tried in the past. What happens is people stop selling and tax revenue does not change as it's hedged on someone else being elected and lowering taxes again, ironically resulting in a tax surplus. Kind of crazy the government continues to understand the Laffer Curve [https://www.mercatus.org/research/data-visualizations/tax-rates-vs-tax-revenues](https://www.mercatus.org/research/data-visualizations/tax-rates-vs-tax-revenues) Historically this doesn't increase tax revenues

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I put my limit order for meta at 432. Now zuck cuck is jumping. Wat kind of fuck is this?

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Kind of, in my perspective earnings are kind of secondary. The main driver of this rally is that people are expecting easy money continue coming in, meaning rate cuts and fed buy backs to stimulate the market. As long as there is safety of liquidity people are OK buying. What if watch is the bond market, so the 10y yield and such. This is the ultimate backing to the easy money, and as yields rise it just means bond prices are dropping from lower demand as investor require higher returns (yield) for their riskier investment. Ultimately the issue will come from there, if we begin to notice substantial problems selling bonds to fuel the mania. Secondly if we get hawkish comments from the fed talking about rate hike, that would also cuts the market by 20%. However, that would be very unlikely as companies are already struggling with the current rates so JP would really want to kill inflation (which he doesn’t really) to do that.

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I closed my META puts for a 80% loss at 435, switched to puts and now it's at 437. like wtf? What kind of bs is this?

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[https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/26/us-probes-tesla-recall-of-2-million-vehicles-over-autopilot.html](https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/26/us-probes-tesla-recall-of-2-million-vehicles-over-autopilot.html) [https://fortune.com/2024/04/23/tesla-elon-musk-ceo-executive-resign-earnings-call-electric-vehicle/](https://fortune.com/2024/04/23/tesla-elon-musk-ceo-executive-resign-earnings-call-electric-vehicle/) severance pay is unvarified insider info. Not sure about that one. Keep in mind these are rumors, not news. "buy the rumor, sell the news" I believe also applies backwards for bad rumors and news. But I believe there is still some kind of short squeeze going on.

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