the FOMC interest rate decision. happens every month after the CPI & CPE inflation data. its generally a very volatile day once the meeting starts and results in large, unpredictable move in the markets. the best move is to wait till After wednesday to see the markets reaction. if OP has balls, they will yolo 50% into 0dte calls, and 50% into 0dte puts - called a strangle - and sell the winning side on wednesday. (assuming there is enough of a move for one side to profit over the other sides loss.) if OP is wise they will slow the fk down and do some more reading on how the markets and options work.

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Scared of CPI

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They use different metrics to capture different things. For example, this is sticky CPI which is much worse than the standard metrics: https://www.atlantafed.org/research/inflationproject/stickyprice If sticky were low and standard CPI were all over the place, they would still be comfortable cutting. If sticky is trending downwards while the faster moving metrics are low, they could still feel comfortable cutting. But sticky is still quite high and core is lower but seems to be flat lining. Hard to be dovish now.

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fed, cpi, and jobs report: only three that matter . the bull market is beholden to those

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CPI was 3.1% in June 2023 and is 3.5% now. No QE infinity yet IMO. Asset prices are still high and the Fed has plenty of room to be hawkish

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CPI tomorrow and money print on day after

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FOMC will really be a non event this month as we know the cuts aren’t coming soon and the market already priced out 1 if not 2 cuts. You might get a little bit of a drop for those who were holding on to July, but CPI already killed a lot of those dreams. At this point the only real surprises would be to the upside if they say July may still be on the tables and give encouraging rhetoric.

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Nah probably not. Things seem alright until next CPI

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Spain had 0.8 mom cpi last month and 0.7 just now. Sounds to me that there fucked come next year

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Not gonna lie, the next jobs report (and CPI) is gonna be ugly. Cali gave pay raises to all fast food workers (i.e. half a million people) starting on April 1st, $16 to $20. Average hourly gain is forecast to be 0.3% (like last month). It will for sure be higher than that. Also, most Cali fast food restaurants raised their prices on April 1st, so you get more food inflation on the next CPI.

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