Just add Newey-West adjusted t-statistics that use Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent (HAC) standard errors to correct for issues in time series data where errors aren't independent (autocorrelation) and have varying variances (heteroskedasticity), and the sub will happily present you your autism certificate as one of us.

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Interesting, but I think there are a few econometric checks missing that could materially affect the conclusions. Most importantly: if any of this is based on price levels or smoothed price levels (e.g. 90-day moving averages), both series are almost certainly non-stationary. Correlations and cross-correlations between non-stationary series can look highly significant even when the relationship is spurious, unless you explicitly test for stationarity or cointegration. Related to that: - Using rolling averages introduces strong autocorrelation and overlapping observations, which inflates t-stats and p-values if not corrected. - The peak at a −49 day lag looks like it was selected after scanning many lags, that’s effectively multiple testing, so the reported p-value likely overstates significance. - Min–max normalization makes unrelated trending series visually align, which can be misleading. To really support a predictive claim, do: 1. stationarity tests (ADF/KPSS) and returns-based analysis, 2. lag selection done out-of-sample or with multiple-testing correction, 3. HAC / bootstrap inference, and 4. a clean out-of-sample forecast comparison vs a simple benchmark. Without those, it’s hard to rule out a constructed lead-lag relationship rather than a genuine signal.

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I hate to break it to you, but no one cares for Bill anymore. It´s the Don´s fault. He doesn´t want anybody to remember that a Dem was the last to balance the budget and that he was to pervert even for Epstein. Not judging of course. As long as he didn´t actually abuse miners (yes, intended) I don´t really care.

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Flatter than your t level

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You don´t have to get up for that. Trust me.

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Don´t we all? XD

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D⬛⬛⬛⬛d T⬛⬛⬛p

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First of all we´ll need to know, which of those were actually accused of anything (besides just being friendly with a powerful man). And then the really spicy question is, what is in those files they illegally kept back. If the name of the Don turns out to be in those this will look really, really bad. Look at it this way: Assume it turned out the Don did do miners (yes, this is intentional), there would suddenly be a whole lot of recent footage looking really not that great for so called conservatives. Personally I don´t think, it´s a coincidence he went on vacation before the release. His people are coaching him away from public appearances during which he could run his mouth. And while all of this looks bad: No one yet has seen the russian dossier. I get that he is anxious and yes, it´s annoying that some of his more exotic communications have leaked, but as of now all we know is that he is a typical example of the decadent class of super rich. He may be on the more Marie Antoinesque side of things, but being decadent and a little pervers does not make you a criminal. There may be people out three who hold some more keys. But if so, they currently don´t seem intend to use them.

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Maybe. Doesn´t mean it would be worth it. Personally I am increasingly wondering how hollow the whole Elon deal has already become. But yes. As long as the share price rises, people can make money there.

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People in Louisiana can´t leave. They die when they get ot of range of their voodoo idol.

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