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PHLX Semiconductor Ishares ETF

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Memory & semi $SMH $DRAM $MU $AVGO $SOXX $AMAT $ASML are not independent of macroeconomics & inflation. High capex semi have less margin, when inflation cost high for parts and labor and commodities chemicals. Semi moves like Taj Casino, eventually Taj went bankrupt. Those days media hype, not Tweets. You can fact check.
Everyone must accept that there are only 2 options for this market. You either long semis and other high beta ai names and hope that the bubble doesn’t pop any time soon and you don’t wake up with a 10% down day ok the SOXX or you short the high flyers thinking that this thing will revert to fundamentals and every day enrage yourself watching your money disappear and the lunacy of the market is just reinforced with the help of the government. In the end all realize, if you’re not already rich you’re probably not getting there unless Lady Luck is stuck to you like a remora on a shark.
PUT premium very cheap at Vix low. Adding LEAP to hyper pump stocks including $DRAM $SMH $SOXX $MU $AMAT and many, not bad idea. Adding PUT strike , 25% down, in 100-120 days to expire, looks smart after big run
Time to book profit from $MU $DRAM $SOXX $INTC before 50% crash
On a bull day, stock with good momemtum (all indicators pointing to a continuation) prior session or even better good news before market open Let the first 15 min vol crunch (typically this setup lead to a gap up from priori close) and tcheck that QQQ/SOXX (depending of stock) keep bullish structure from open On stock chart, wait for a pullback (cooling off and retest at 50 for to RSI 14 or RSI 30 depending of the momentum on the 5 min chart), confirm RSI reversal Nearest expiration date, buy slight OTM (1 or 2 slot above ATM), hold for ~10% gain, sell. Repeat intraday with the RSI retest til the structure break Inverse everything on ber day with puts but it's harder for me, signals are often not as clean First loss (bad entry or break of structure, doesn't matter) even if it's the first i stop trading for the day (either i'm not sharp or algos decided to bend me over) Pretty safe apart from an unexpected news/macro event/mango tweet, and 8 times 10% gains is a 100% gain on initial capital
i kinda disagree. there's a lot of data center names out there that only exist because they're building data centers and hoping to be able to lease compute time for a certain price for a certain time period. the mag7 aren't going away, but if things don't become profitable sometime soon, these data center companies will eventually roll over. they're borrowing money to build and what they're building isn't sustaining for as long as they project to investors that they would. you can't operate at a loss forever, and you can't fail to meet projections forever without a downturn. at least not with my money. the losses by the lenders are going to hit the books. its not going to drive nvidia into bankruptcy at all, but it'll take a hit because they've also become financiers. when and by how much are debatable. but when nvidia makes a chip for 6k and sells it for 30k, its not that AI is unprofitable, its just that all the profit is going to one company. everyone else is looking to survive. we don't know when any of this will happen. today's nvidia stock price could be its all time high or its low when it reverses. but the trajectory is something we all know isn't sustainable. so there'll be a correction when the industry realizes that soxx can't double every two months and then there'll be another correction that sends us way lower than now or just returns us to this point. i'm too stupid know. so i keep a 25% reserve and i'm pretty sure i'll get today's price sometime in the future, or i'll get a much better one. being a bear is mostly a timing problem. i could just be stupid.
Just buy an ETF and hold bro. SOXX has all the AI stocks you could need.
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