Where did you get the RuneScape data from?

---

Great thing about SLV is you usually get 0DTE 3X per week. Thats more my speed. GL to you though OP.

---

Not a 1% return though. $8 premium on a $23.50 cost basis is 34% return immediately. Not accounting for the 32% gain should the shares get called away. You very much reduce your downside with covered calls on big movers due to the inflated IV. I have a few positions where my effective cost basis is $0 from selling premiums.

---

I don't get it...

---

Hey I have a data science background. This is good and entertaining fluff, but if you know what you're looking at, there are important things missing and some things that look good but don't make sense. I give him 4.8/5 for making it look important. For example: He has two time series (S&P500 and the bonds) and he compares them to many possible offsets. This is called cross-correlation analysis. It's a real thing, but it's also notorious for overfitting the data and showing spurious relationships if you misuse it like OP dies here. When you test many different offsets, you increase the probability of finding a high correlation *somewhere*, purely out of random chance. This is kind of like flipping a coin and getting heads 10 times in a row; it's impressive if you only flipped the coin 10 times, but much less exciting if you flipped it 10 million times. You were bound to get a 10-head steak at some point. An overfit predictor is one that performs very well on the historical data used to find it, but poorly on new, unseen data. If you select the single best lag based purely on the highest R-value from your historical test (precisely what OP did here), you risk overfitting to random noise that exists in the sample, but isn't truly predictive. And that's almost surely been done here and the validation should have been on showing that the model isn't overfit. To validate a model like that you wouldn't back-test (what OP does). Some things you could do are split the data into in and out of sample (e.g. make the model based on only the first X days in the series, and then judge it based on its ability to predict the data after day X). You should/could take steps to remove seasonality or trends within the time series first (which we already damn well know the stock market is seasonal, so him using untransformed values is most definitely increasing his calculated correlation). It would also be good to do bootstrapping to check statistical significance, instead of just p value. But it is very entertaining. OP probably also has a data background, to be knowing what to do to specifically torture the data this way.

---

I expected that and expect that, on both counts. Per usual, want to get rich on a particular stock?  Especially obscure, thinly held stocks (not that UUUU is, but how many people are searching about this stock on Saturday night?) So, want to get rich on a particular stock?  Get to it before the news hits.  Yeah, I’m talking about *insider* knowledge.  Be that through a political connection or the guy in the office who works on the printers.

---

It’s basing, it will get back to the 20s once/if the DOE announces a partnership. The DOE themselves called dysprosium “the single most critical element for emerging clean energy technologies” back in 2015. Take note, this was before it was evident the China supply restrictions were a geopolitical reality, and also doesn’t account for the fact it’s critical for defence industries and fuel injectors of all kinds and nuclear control rods. https://preview.redd.it/1wk55aeyth8g1.jpeg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=824de8de738256f48c3882a8b8d075da17ccc7ea

---

Don't worry, RS3 and OSRS bond prices are intrinsically linked since gold swapping is allowed, the prices fluctuate based on inflation for either game. If someone can swap gold from RS3 to OSRS and get a cheaper bond that way, that will cause more swapping and the currencies will stabilize in relative value quickly, while more bonds get traded on OSRS. The same can happen vice versa. So you can just replace RS3 with OSRS in OPs post and it's still perfectly valid, assuming it's not all nonsense. Still better to just stay out though because it's all nonsense.

---

These will print. There is a lot of precious metal positive things happening in the world right now. Ive got AGQ, SILJ, and SLV calls atm. When you get the opportunity, I recommend taking some profits and turning that into physical silver. Something tangible you can hold in your hand! Best of luck to you fellow degen

---

Get it brother

---