predictions market is a simple yes/no contract that you can trade anytime before the game ends. Normal sports betting involves a lot more robust bets on scores or individual players. I'm a simple man and I let my yes be yes or my no be no lol example; 70 cents xyz team wins pay out 1 dollar or 30 cents abc team wins pay out 1 dollar. You bet on the underdog, midway through the game the underdog has a massive overturn and is leading! so the contract prices flip. You flip and lock in a profit or you hold till the end in hopes that they stay ahead and you get your full payout. I have been betting against Texas this entire time and won flipping contracts when mississippi upset midgame....I should have sold everything in that moment or bet that Texas might have a huge comback as the contract dipped from 80 cents to 4 cents texas win. Instead I sold most of my bag for a smaller win and let the rest expire worthless.
All those layoffs are "money". Government AI capex spending is free projects. Data centers are free headstarts. This is an actual game. 2021 was electric cars and gene editing....
On twitter there was a guy showing a chart about how the stock market is going to be up 100% of the time because of a zweig thrust (something like that?) omen and then literally the next day he hits you with the hindenberg omen that stocks are gonna fall big. i'm not saying the charts and stats are fake but the problem is we need to be able to filter by "this guy actually believes this and he sold all his shit" to at least cut down on the charts, cause there are guys posting charts every day but you have no idea if they even take action on their own bullshit. In this industry there's just way too many charts and noise and every day there's 1,000 more twitter accounts posting charts, so the solution is I just want to know if people have skin in the game and are taking big bets with their own money or not. But nobody does that because they aren't sure and they know if they are wrong they are gonna be mocked, so if this guy isn't even confident enough to do that, why should I trade based off his information?