My point is that between now and mid-November Elon could do everything the dumbest way possible and send the company on the road to ruin and it ain't moving the stock price down that much. All he has to do is start talking about robots or robotaxis in Des Moines and dip gets bought.
The OP is gonna need a major market sentiment shift, not a misstep by Elon. He may as well buy SPY puts.