I am looking at both.
Here's my take on it, by using DUOL as an analogy:
Self-taught people are rare.
People usually prefer to attend classes and to be in a structured, conditioned environment that offers predictability, constructive feedback and a complete set of courses.
This kind of completeness is trusted and familiar, it's the school-effect.
To compete with DUOL a company has to mimic DUOL - by appealing to the school-effect.
So why then go with something else than DUOL?
The competition may be tougher in the future, but DUOL is the de facto market leader.
I think the completeness of ADBE and CRM would be hard to compete against.
How about this tactic: invest in the companies that the market thinks AI will kill or eat their market share, but where the fears are overblown. It reminds me of NFLX in 2022, I bought 6k worth which grew to 40k or so. I think negative sentiment can make for great opportunities.
I went pretty much all in on GOOGL shares and LEAPS a couple months ago because of the negative sentiment at the time(“Search is dying” and how antitrust was gonna kill the company). Still continuing to hold this position.
I think some candidates for overblown AI doom and gloom are ADBE and possibly CRM. I haven’t bought in but I have been watching these closely. Ideas?