Jun 14 is a tight date. The next CPI readout is Jun 12 so you don’t get much time to react to that. If anything these options may increase in IV due to the report date. So it would be where you’d want to sell on 6/11 no matter what, depending on what you think CPI will do. The other comment after a longer strike date I think makes more sense so there’s time to recover in case CPI messes things up again.

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CPI and reduced fat CPI have been .3% or .4% MoM for the past 6 months If you annualize that (times 12 regard) thats 3.6%-4.8% for 6 months "B-b-but YoY numbers..." yeah those are ghey, they play numbers games with "base effects" where the comparison looks good from the year before but has fuck all to do with how inflation is trending now [https://wolfstreet.com/2024/05/15/beneath-the-skin-of-cpi-inflation-april-after-some-zigs-a-zag-but-6-month-core-cpi-hits-4-0-6-month-core-services-cpi-hits-6-0-both-highest-since-mid-2023/](https://wolfstreet.com/2024/05/15/beneath-the-skin-of-cpi-inflation-april-after-some-zigs-a-zag-but-6-month-core-cpi-hits-4-0-6-month-core-services-cpi-hits-6-0-both-highest-since-mid-2023/) some nice crayon charts for you regards to ponder

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i bought at $530 in January and sold at $730 before Q4 earnings and regretted it. Bought a dip at $840 and will be holding through this earnings call. Earnings will be a huge beat again and guidance will be good, coupled with a better CPI report. I'm hoping we get close to $1000 per share before next earnings and get a stock split.

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Only if you're trading FOMC or CPI events in either direction. If you have a sound idea of technical analysis and know when to avoid trading, you'll be the one laughing ;)

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what if your "sphere" of observation is general market sentiment, CPI, bonds, currency, current events, politics, monetary policy and geopolitics? price action of WHAT is more consistent and less couples to things outside such observation?

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You got me on the cpi this week 😔

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You are kinda fucked after the most recent CPI. You need all of next months inflation data to come in hot if you stand any chance. I don’t think it will. Maybe in 2025.

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Completely blew up my port this week, down 65% because I was certain CPI would be hot and send the market down, at least for a day. Welp....when you're wrong, you're wrong. 

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Looks like TLT is gap filling CPI spike as yields are back to rising. Imagine if equities were to follow - there'd be bodies raining from wall street

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it was green so good, momentum for next week is forward. If it were red, would be opposite. we got into all time high this week after cpi report. resistance today to hit 530 after the big run up, im hoping and thinking we break through that EOW is 531-532.

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